Tests a revenue plan against the history meant to support it. For each source, new business, expansion, and retention, it computes the deals, opportunities, and pipeline the target requires, then flags any assumed win rate, deal size, sales cycle, or per-seller workload that is more aggressive than the company has actually produced. Re-prices the target at historical rates, checks the date pipeline must be created by, flags sources and dependencies with no named owner, and holds back on any source with too little history to judge.
Most revenue targets are built top down and then handed to sales as a quota. Win rate, deal size, cycle length, and seller workload are assumed, usually a little better than last year on every line at once, and nobody checks them against what the company has actually produced.
Revenue Plan Feasibility Auditor
A synthetic closed-deal history of 151 won and lost deals across three deal types, five of them older than the trailing year and so to be ignored, plus two open deals and three malformed rows, tested against a four-source plan with known answers: one source whose assumptions were all beyond history, one source that matched history exactly as a control, one with too little history to judge, and one source the tool does not model.
4 of 4 assumptions
Over-assumed source correctly flagged
1/1
Control source correctly left unflagged
1/1
Thin-history source correctly held back
3/3
Malformed history rows excluded
The new business target needed a 30% win rate, 60,000 deals, a 55-day cycle, and 42 opportunities per seller. History showed 22%, 50,000, 74 days, and 20. At the rates the team had actually produced, the same pipeline delivered about 3.67 million of the 6 million.
No. It means the plan depends on several improvements at once and nothing in the history supports them. The follow-up is which specific changes would make those improvements real, and who owns each, not simply lowering the number.
It is reported as insufficient history with no verdict and no attainable figure, instead of guessing from a handful of deals. The report says what data would unlock a judgment.
A forecast projects from open pipeline. This tests the assumptions the target itself is built on, against closed history, before the year starts.
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